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Knowing your Niche Market is the First Step to Selling!

Is your market too flooded with choices? Knowing your Niche market is KeyKnowing your Niche Market is by far, one of the most important steps in avoiding failure with Build a Niche Store or any niche website! Number 3 of the 20 Reasons you will Fail with Build a Niche Store… You Don’t Research your Niche!
image courtesy of: http://www.inflagrantecollecto.info/

In this post, we will look at several of the factors you need to consider when looking into the development of a new niche website. In less than 30 minutes, you will know whether or not a niche is even worth pursuing before you go out and buy that new domain name or get started with hours of development work.

Yesterday, I talked a bit about your Affiliate Website Budget as a whole and determined a few key monthly expenses. Before you ever start working on a site, you need to determine a baseline for profitability, so you have an idea of how much affiliate revenue the site will need to earn, in order to break even.

  1. You will have a fixed monthly expense of $9.95 for Hosting with HostGator for an unlimited number of websites. If this is your first and only, you need to pay the full amount from earnings on this site alone. I will assume for the purpose of this exercise, you will have 10 sites total on this account.
  2. Your domain name will cost at least $7.15 for the first year through GoDaddy
  3. You will need to spend a few dollars on site promotion, $15.00 for directory submissions through a place like SubmitEdge
  4. Your TIME is worth something, for the sake of this post, lets use $20/hour, but we won’t count your initial development time, only the time you need to spend each month for maintenance of the site. The initial development time is sweat equity, required for almost ANYTHING you do to make money! Why am I using $20/hour versus the $50-$100 I spoke about yesterday? When you start any job, you have to start at the bottom and earn your way up the ladder! After you become more efficient doing this, you would quickly see that hourly number rise!

Niche Site Breakeven Point – How Much do I Need to Earn on this Niche Site in Order to Make Money?

Using the figures above as a broad baseline, I can determine that in order for this site to recognize any profit, I need it to earn AT LEAST $348.55 in 12 months! How did I come to that number?

  1. .95 cents a month for hosting x 12 months = $11.40
  2. $7.15 for 1 year domain registration
  3. $15.00 for Directory submissions every other month for the first year = $90.00
  4. 1 hour a month at $20/hour = $240 for the year. (You can adjust this figure up or down, according to what YOU want to earn hourly)

Breakeven Point: $11.40 (Hosting) + $7.15 (Domain) + $90.00 (Directory Submissions) + $200.00 $240.00 (Your time) = $348.55 / Year
If you chose to purchase a keyword research tool or additional services, you need to add the portion of the cost for this single site into the equation as well.

Niche Site Demand – Do People even need Your Niche Market Site?

This is where you start researching the demand for your niche market! Assume for the sake of this exercise that you are only going to attract a small number of the search visitors for the first year as your site grows, hopefully you can get in front of 2.5% of the total! Of that 2.5%, only a small number are actually going to convert to sales… lets shoot for 10% of the visitors converting to a buyer. If you are using free research tools, this does become a bit harder to measure at this point as Google and several others do not provide raw numbers you could use for figures.

I am not going to do the actual research for this, but instead provide a set of values as an example in the broad market of “iphones”. In order to narrow the market, I use WordTrackerto gather my long tail phrases with little to no competition and find that there are more than 15,000 monthly searches across 100 very specific longtail phrases. That tells me that I could hope to see 375 monthly visitors on average for the first year, with 37 converting sales each month!

  1. 15,000 specific monthly searches X 2.5% = 375 monthly visitors X 10% = 37 conversions.

Niche Market Average Selling Price – Is it even Profitable?

Thus far, we know that we may only see 375 monthly visitors and get only 37 sales from them, now we need to find out what our niche product will produce for an average selling price and determine our cut of the commission from the affiliate sale. For this, I use Terapeak! You can even use their free tools to get this figure, but they only provide 14 days of history… For the sake of this, I used the term iPhone in the search box and the results are:

  1. $129.91 Average Selling Price
  2. 49,000 +/- Monthly Sales Unit Volume

After I know the average selling price and see that there is sufficient sales volume (More than 375 in this case) I head over to an eBay fee calculator to determine what my cut would be.

  1. Visit this site and insert the average selling price in the opening and closing price boxes.
  2. Remove the PayPal fee checkbox and click on calculate fees.
  3. $11.88 is the total eBay fee for this exercise, of which we get 50% or $5.94 per sale.
  4. $5.94 per sale X 37 Sales = $219.00 Per Month

ACRU or Active Confirmed Registered Users also bring a little money to our earnings! I was in the crowd that thought EVERYONE had an eBay account, again, I was wrong! Up until the EPN changeover, my ACRU per lead ratio was in the 2-3 % range. Meaning that for every 100 people I sent to buy on eBay, 2-3 of them were new accounts. Every ACRU = $25.00

  1. 2% of 37 buyers is roughly 1 new ACRU or $25.00

Niche Website Earnings with eBay Affiliate Program $244.00 per Month

In todays post about Knowing your Niche Market:

  • We have determined that we CAN make money with our new store.
  • Early on, we determined that in order to make this a Profitable Niche Store, we needed to earn at least, $348.55 in the first year.
  • After researching the market with WordTracker, we were able to see that we can expect 37 sales each month based on the search demand of our market.
  • When we multiplied the sales volume with the average selling price and that lonely ACRU, we found that our site would earn approximately $244.00 every month, or a total of $2928.00 for the year!

After figuring all of our numbers, we will see a net profit of $215.00 per month!

Now that we know we can make money… its time to get the domain and get started! Split that profit down the middle and use $105 or so to both promote this site more and start developing new sites!

How do you decide whether or not a Niche Market will be profitable?

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25 Comments »

  • Mike said:

    Food for thought this one Mark. I’d love to have the conversion rates you talk about but I average less than 1% on my sites at the moment and I’ve had 1 Acru in 6,000 visits.

    If these stats are based on your own experience then I have a lot to learn which is a problem because I don’t know what I don’t know. I pretty much do everything I’ve learned from you, Rochelle and Vic so there must be a big gap somewhere.

  • Mark (author) said:

    @ Mike -

    I still love your Blog! :-) Have you ever checked into feedsmith for allowing email subscribers?

    The stats above are true for several of my sites. Some however arent worth the time I put into them! On sites that werent worth the time, I have found it is either my own lack of attention to them… or the niche itself just being too weak to support the efforts.

    If you want to shoot me over a url or two via the contact form, I would love to see if there is anything that jumps out at me!

    Mark

  • Arthur said:

    Mark-
    I belive that if we use Wordtracker for what its worth to find the right combination of keyword phrases and single keywords, we have come a long way in excluding competition within our niches.
    Do you have any plans on publishing a tutorial video on how to use WT and how we use the search results to make our niche stores as unique as possible?

    Arthur

  • Adrienne said:

    Mark,

    In reading your budget discussion, I had an idea for newbies that may be struggling to purchase tools for their BANS stores, or maybe even their next couple of domains:

    if you’re not already a seller on ebay, clean out your house and raise some quick money! I also believe that each BANS store owner would gain valuable insight for their stores by at least experiencing the basics of buying and selling on eBay.

    Thanks for all you do Mark!

  • Adrienne said:

    Another question for Mark or anyone who might have a handle on this:

    Do you think some niches generate more ACRUs than others? Or is there a general percent a person could expect, given the stores are well optimized, great niche, etc?

  • Mike said:

    @Mark

    The email feed is now live. Thanks for the reminder.

  • Rochelle said:

    Adrienne,

    My experience is that some niches are much better than others at generating ACRUs then others. My ‘My Little Pony’ site gets a few ACRUs each month. I have a brand new site (see my website link) that is about a month old and starting to generate traffic. I had my first sale from it the other day AND an ACRU.

    While I really can’t come to a conclusion based on one ACRU, I would say that really nichy niches probably have a higher chance for getting ACRUs then broad ones. And, I think sites with very little competition, such as my spittoons site, will get more simply because people don’t always think to go to eBay for it and your site is one of the first they see in search engine results (if that makes sense).

    Rochelle

  • GBPackers said:

    I’m not currently counting my time as a cost. I think, as a new affiliate marketer, that I’m working for free while I learn the ropes so I’m looking at hard $ costs to run a store then looking to see if it’s profitable.

    Ideally, if you put time into a store it should make more money because of customization and content additions. Learning how to optimize and what content to add is part of the trick of this business and part of what I’m still learning.

    If I feel it costs me $25 a year in hard costs to run a store and it makes me $26 then I’ll keep it. I may keep it if it makes less if I feel it has potential or if I haven’t done much work on it.

    So far I’ve been pouring all my profits back into the business by outsourcing graphics and content which makes it easier to grow.

  • High Interest Savings Accounts said:

    SInce joining the EPN I have yet to see an ACRU. On CJ, I managed to get 2 with just 3 stores up and only with one month in. I am shocked that EPN is not bringing in ACRUs.

  • Dawn said:

    Hi – This is a follow up to my previous post regarding Submitedge. After posting here, I returned to their site and requested a refund. I received an email earlier today from 2CO (their credit card processing service) issuing the refund – prompt and professional, no questions asked.

  • Mark (author) said:

    @ Dawn -

    Truly sorry you had a bad experience with them. All of my own interaction and many others have seen nothing but great results from the submitedge service. I have only used them for directory submissions however.

    My experience with blog submissions in general has been bad, always! (Never used submitedge for that though) Blog submissions seem to be done on splogs that are quickly de-indexed and the overall results are always negligible.

    Mark

  • Dawn said:

    Mark,

    Regarding Submitedge, I would not say that I had a “bad experience” – I just plan on avoiding their complete link building packages. I was relieved when they promptly refunded me, and I do plan to return to use their directory submission service.

    Keep up your great work here, and keep the ideas coming! I really liked your recent post regarding putting the kids to work when they ask for extra spending cash or gas money – my oldest is ten and very interested in how I make money online…I think I will be putting him to work the next time he asks for another Nintendo game :-)

    Dawn

  • Rochelle said:

    I am attempting to purchase my first domain via GoDaddy’s after market auction and when I try to confirm my bid I get a message that says, “You are prohibited from bidding.”

    GoDaddy doesn’t give any reason why I’m prohibited. Any thoughts as to why they won’t let me bid and how to resolve it?

    Rochelle

  • Rochelle said:

    Never mind (I think). Apparently you have to pay $4.99/year to be able to bid and purchase in GoDaddy’s after market.

  • Mark (author) said:

    Hi Rochelle -

    I usually just login to my the tdnam.com website (GoDaddy’s Domain Name After Market) with my GoDaddy credientials… and bid away!!

    I have never paid…

    Mark

  • Rochelle said:

    Mark,

    Are you sure you’ve never paid? I was unable to bid/purchase, even after I logged in, until I paid the $4.99 yearly fee (though I was able to find a coupon code that brought it down to $4.49).

    Rochelle

  • Adrienne said:

    Rochelle,

    I’m pretty sure that Mark has a cash parking account at Go-Daddy, and the membership to the TDNAM is included with that.

    HTH

  • Rochelle said:

    Adrienne,

    That makes sense. Thanks for clearing that up :)

    Rochelle

  • Mark (author) said:

    @ Rochelle & Adrienne -

    Spot on! I didnt even think about the CashParking (waste of $99) account including TDNAM access.

    Mark

  • Shawn said:

    Mark (or anyone),

    How did you get the total number of monthly visits from WordTracker. I’ve gotten to the competition page and most of the phrases are less than one. ugh!!! Did you take the 24Hrs count and multiply by 30 for a month of traffic? I must be missing something here.

    Are there any tutorials on how to get the most out of WordTracker?

    Thanks,
    Shawn

  • Mark (author) said:

    @ Shawn -

    Try this page – I am actually not 100% sure, but it does have some good WT info.

    http://www.thenichestorebuilder.com/build-a-niche-store-working-on-main-categories.htm

    Mark

  • stan said:

    mark,
    terapeak is now not a free service.
    do you suggest any other?
    thanks.

  • Mark (author) said:

    @ Stan -

    Yeah… I got an email from them this week on it. There are actually many free keyword tools, but none that get deep intot he auctions like TP did.

    Have you used the Google Sandbox? https://adwords.google.com/select/KeywordToolExternal

    Mark

  • stan said:

    I use Google tool to find searches and cpc etc but how it helps with ebay, no clue.
    thanks.

  • 20 Reasons You Will Fail with Build a Niche Store | The Niche Store Builder - Succeed with Build a Niche Store said:

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